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Science of Conjecture

Name: Science of Conjecture
Brand: Johns Hopkins University Press
SKU: 09275677
Price: 18491 HUF
Availability: InStock
Author: James Franklin
ISBN: 9781421418803

Evidence and Probability Before Pascal

James Franklin

Language

English

Book Paperback

Libristo code: 09275677

Publishers Johns Hopkins University Press, September 2015

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of prob... Full description

Libristo code: 09275677

125 b

18 491 Ft

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How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.