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Forecasting

Name: Forecasting
Brand: Johns Hopkins University Press
SKU: 04708332
Price: 14170 HUF
Availability: InStock
Author: William L. Ascher
ISBN: 9780801822735

An Appraisal for Policy-Makers and Planners

William L. Ascher

Harold D. Lasswell

Language

English

Book Paperback

Libristo code: 04708332

Publishers Johns Hopkins University Press, February 1978

Energy needs...oil supplies...inflation rates...the demand for new homes...in concerns like these, f... Full description

Libristo code: 04708332

96 b

14 170 Ft

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Energy needs...oil supplies...inflation rates...the demand for new homes...in concerns like these, forecasting plays a crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars will be spent by also commit national policies far into the future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the records of expert forecasting of national trends in population, economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.